The booming signature market
Never mind the stock market – try the signature market. The value of autographs of the rich and famous has surged over the past decade, leaving equities trailing in the dust
According to Paul Fraser Collectibles, a firm tracking the market and acting in sales of such exotica, its PFC40 autograph index that tracks 40 of the most famous celebrity signatures has shown a rise of over 750 per cent between 2000 and 2022, chalking up an annual compound rise of almost 32 per cent
Meanwhile, in the past ten years to April 2023, the MSCI World Equity Index, which tracks large- and mid-cap companies across 23 developed market countries, had an annualised return of 9.29%. So when it comes to signatures versus stocks, it appears that the scribbles by famous people can be a nice little earner. Autographs have also comfortably outperformed property and even gold
How It Works
The autograph market focuses on the trade of investment-grade memorabilia including photos, documents, letter and books signed by historical figures, politicians, classical and contemporary musicians, movie stars, sports and literary figures and space explorers, among others. Items are available for purchase and resale at auction houses, both brick-and-mortar and online, and through autograph dealers
Who’s Investing?
Until recent decades, the autograph market was dominated by hobbyists and historians with limited means who collected for enjoyment’s sake. Today it has evolved into a legitimate alternative investment strategy for an estimated 3 million collectors worldwide, a figure that’s expected to double over the next 20 years. The Covid-19 pandemic played a significant role in this rise, according to Bobby Livingston, vice president of RR Auction, an auction house based in Boston, who said many customers were introduced to the collectible market after having more disposable income and spare time to pursue hobbies.
“People who started collecting during the pandemic are continuing to,” said Livingston. In August, his auction house saw David Bowie and Marilyn Monroe autographs sell for over four times their estimates, at $2,000 and $32,000 respectively
What They’re Making
According to Paul Fraser, autograph collection has a tremendous growth market fueled by supply shortages and increased demand, especially in the case of the finest rare and unique autographed memorabilia, which Fraser says have historically produced annual returns up to 35%
The PFC report highlights some astonishing figures. For example, Neil Armstrong, the first man to walk on the moon in 1969,stopped signing autographs in 1994. In 2000 his autograph was worth £550. Ten years later it was £5500, a rise of 900 per cent. A photo with the signatures of the Beatles fetched £22,500
But that’s a mere pittance compared to what is considered the most valuable signature sold – George Washington’s personally signed copy of the Constitution and Bill of Rights. That sold for a record $9.83 million at a Christie’s auction in 2012 having previously been bought by H. Richard Dietrich Jr., a Pennsylvania collector for $27,000 in a 1964 auction!
For other valuable autographs find out more here
“The collectibles markets are booming with world record prices being set virtually every day. Much of this attention is on top-quality autographs, and historical signed documents, which have become favoured assets for investors seeking diversification from mainstream markets”, according to PFC
How to Get Started
If your capital is is limited you can always start by sending photos to your favourite celebrities by mail to have them signed. Celebrity mailing addresses are available at websites like Startiger.com, and Stefan’s Autographs. If your resources exceed the price of a stamp, start browsing reputable online auctions and catalogues, study whose signatures are selling for what and compare the prices against valuation books. Many experts advise against buying from members of exclusive autograph societies who sell at fixed prices since items from these sellers tend to be overvalued
When choosing which celebrities to invest in, autographs from dead people may be the best way to ensure safety as their reputations are already cemented and supply of their merchandise will only continue to decrease. The rarer the items, from one-of-a-kind to five-of-a-kind collectibles, fetch the best result
When you’re ready to make a purchase, visit an auction or a dealer like Paul Fraser Collectibles or Stanley Gibbons, where you can browse by category. Right now on the Fraser site, a Marilyn Monroe Autographed Magazine Cut-Out is for sale for £9,950
Caveat Emptor
Millions of pounds in fraudulent memorabilia is sold each year. Don’t necessarily trust an autograph’s certificate of authenticity. They can be, and are, easily forged. Go to an expert third party such as Paul Fraser (again!) or PSA to have the signature authenticated
You should also be aware of memorabilia signed with autopens, by proxy and with preprinted signatures. While not technically fakes, these autographs are far less valuable
Good hunting!
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